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[Rush Lindell] Welcome back to the show.

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[Rush Lindell] I'm sitting across from Reagan here,

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[Rush Lindell] who keeps me honest,

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[Rush Lindell] as always.

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[Reagan] That's the job description.

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[Rush Lindell] It is. We've got a stacked hour.

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[Reagan] We do.

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[Reagan] Trump called off the biggest strike plan in Pentagon history twice,

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[Reagan] then turned around and called Tehran unbelievably duplicitous.

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[Rush Lindell] Twice!

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[Rush Lindell] You can't make this up.

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[Rush Lindell] And Iran's over there saying we're not talking to Washington.

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[Rush Lindell] We're talking to Oman about a shipping route.

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[Reagan] Which raises a real question about who's actually driving this.

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[Rush Lindell] Oh,

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[Rush Lindell] we're going there.

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[Rush Lindell] And we lost somebody who mattered today in that fight:

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[Rush Lindell] Lindsey Graham,

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[Rush Lindell] seventy one years old.

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[Reagan] One of Israel's loudest defenders in that chamber.

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[Reagan] We'll talk about what his voice meant and who fills that silence now.

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[Rush Lindell] Plus two Senate votes on this war.

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[Rush Lindell] One passed,

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[Rush Lindell] one failed by a single vote.

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[Rush Lindell] VOTE.

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[Reagan] A one vote margin on a war-stick around for that math.

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[Rush Lindell] That math-I like that.

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[Rush Lindell] But first-this hour is brought to you by Lear Capital,

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[Rush Lindell] America's Precious Metals Leader since Nineteen Ninety Seven.

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[Reagan] All right-Iran,

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[Reagan] whiplash and a straight answer on what's actually happening at Hormuz.

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[Rush Lindell] Let's start there.

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[Rush Lindell] Before we get into it, a quick reminder: We love hearing from you. If you have questions or topics you'd like us to cover,

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[Rush Lindell] head to the link in the description and submit your question.

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[Rush Lindell] We read every single one.

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[Rush Lindell] Same strike package,

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[Rush Lindell] called off twice in one week.

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[Reagan] The one Trump says would have been the biggest attack since World War II?

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[Rush Lindell] Biggest since World War II,

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[Rush Lindell] and he pulls the trigger back not once,

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[Rush Lindell] but Twice,

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[Rush Lindell] because Saudi Arabia calls,

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[Rush Lindell] the UAE calls,

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[Rush Lindell] Qatar calls,

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[Rush Lindell] and get this,

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[Rush Lindell] Iran calls too.

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[Reagan] According to Spokesmancom's reporting Sunday,

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[Reagan] that's the exact.

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[Reagan] Act Sequence:

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[Reagan] "Gulf Allies Plus Tehran itself asking for the pause.

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[Rush Lindell] And then Monday morning-boom!

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[Rush Lindell] Truth Social-Iranian leadership is unbelievably duplicitous.

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[Reagan] Rich,

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[Reagan] considering he'd just done them a favor twenty four hours ago.

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[Rush Lindell] I'm naming this thing the Snooze Button Strike-On Off,

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[Rush Lindell] on off-somebody keeps hitting it every few days!

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[Reagan] Laughing,

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[Reagan] Write it down-you're bringing that back.

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[Rush Lindell] Guarantee it!

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[Reagan] But here's what breaks the tantrum story:

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[Reagan] Iran's foreign ministry spokesman,

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[Reagan] Baghaei,

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[Reagan] went on record:

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[Reagan] We are not currently negotiating with the United States.

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[Rush Lindell] Only Oman.

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[Reagan] Right,

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[Reagan] a transit corridor through Hormuz. Not a peace deal.

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[Reagan] Spokesmancom had that Monday flat denial.

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[Reagan] Nothing with Washington.

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[Rush Lindell] So who's lying?

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[Reagan] Maybe neither.

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[Reagan] Maybe they're describing two different rooms.

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[Rush Lindell] Fair. CNN's live coverage into Tuesday has Trump saying he's under zero time pressure,

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[Rush Lindell] calling this Iran's last chance before his word decapitation and claiming Hormuz reopens as phase one of some deal.

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[Reagan] Decapitation and no rush,

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[Reagan] same breath.

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[Rush Lindell] Right.

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[Reagan] That's a lot of temperature from a man who just stood the strike down.

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[Rush Lindell] And Globalsecurity's Day 158 update backs it up.

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[Rush Lindell] Up no U.S.

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[Rush Lindell] strike inside Iran reported since August Fifth; fifth quiet night running.

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[Reagan] So the guns are quiet; I'll give Riyadh,

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[Reagan] Abu Dhabi and Doha this much; their tankers and pipelines sit right next to this.

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[Reagan] Asking for restraint isn't weakness,

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[Reagan] it's self preservation.

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[Rush Lindell] Sure,

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[Rush Lindell] but restraint toward what end?

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[Rush Lindell] What's the actual American objective now?

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[Rush Lindell] Last chance isn't a strategy.

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[Reagan] Canceling a strike twice can be leverage.

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[Reagan] It can also be a tell you never meant to pull it. The difference won't show up in a Truth Social post.

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[Rush Lindell] Bait.

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[Rush Lindell] It shows up at Hormuz.

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[Reagan] Exactly. And if that strait doesn't move,

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[Reagan] somebody's paying for the indecision.

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[Reagan] Probably not in Washington.

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[Rush Lindell] So where do you think that bill actually lands?

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[Rush Lindell] Speaking of whiplash-the second Trump said the strikes were off,

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[Rush Lindell] oil prices dropped instantly.

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[Reagan] Which tells you the market's not pricing supply right now-it's pricing one man's mood.

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[Rush Lindell] Crew,

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[Rush Lindell] doing the electric slide every time he posts,

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[Rush Lindell] I'm calling it the Mood Barrel.

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[Reagan] Cute nickname,

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[Reagan] but the mechanism's real:

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[Reagan] traders are hedging Truth Social,

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[Reagan] not tankers.

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[Rush Lindell] And while that's happening,

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[Rush Lindell] six Saudi-operated tankers just-

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[Rush Lindell] just rerouted clean around Africa,

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[Rush Lindell] dodging the Houthi blockade in the Red Sea.

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[Reagan] That's two extra weeks per voyage,

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[Reagan] minimum.

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[Reagan] Fuel,

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[Reagan] crew,

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[Reagan] insurance-it all stacks fast.

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[Rush Lindell] And get this:

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[Reagan] Mm-hmm.

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[Rush Lindell] GlobalSecurity's Day One Fifty Eight Update says another vessel,

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[Rush Lindell] the Minoan Pioneer, took an unidentified projectile northeast of Khasab,

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[Rush Lindell] lost power,

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[Rush Lindell] fire aboard.

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[Reagan] One crew member's missing-that's the human cost sitting underneath every barrel count.

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[Rush Lindell] Reuters had Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser putting an actual number on it:

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[Rush Lindell] two point six billion barrels of crude knocked out of global supply since this thing started.

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[Reagan] Worth taking seriously,

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[Reagan] though a barrel count from one executive is one data point,

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[Reagan] not the whole ledger.

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[Reagan] Iran's held the strait since February twenty eighth.

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[Reagan] And every day that continues ensures reprice the risk.

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[Rush Lindell] Five months of that gets baked into freight,

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[Rush Lindell] into premiums, into what you pay at the register.

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[Rush Lindell] And nobody in Washington calls it a war cost!

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[Reagan] They call it inflation-same math,

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[Reagan] friendlier name.

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[Rush Lindell] Which is exactly why when things get this shaky,

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[Rush Lindell] people run toward something they can actually hold.

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[Rush Lindell] My friends at Lear Capital are doing something I haven't seen before.

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[Rush Lindell] They're selling in one ounce silver American Eagle.

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[Rush Lindell] Below spot price,

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[Rush Lindell] That's right,

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[Rush Lindell] below what silver is actually trading for right now—and Lear covers the shipping and the taxes.

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[Reagan] Here's what you need to know:

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[Reagan] Priced below spot,

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[Reagan] Lear's selling this at a loss just to get silver in your hand.

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[Reagan] Limit one per person,

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[Reagan] new customers only.

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[Reagan] Free shipping,

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[Reagan] fully insured by Lear.

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[Reagan] This is a twenty four hour offer only.

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[Rush Lindell] And understand how rare that is—spot price doesn't even include

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[Rush Lindell] the cost to mint the coin,

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[Rush Lindell] ship it,

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[Rush Lindell] or any dealer overhead,

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[Rush Lindell] buying at spot is already a deal; buying below spot almost never happens.

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[Reagan] This isn't some obscure bullion piece either—the Silver American Eagle is one of the most recognizable,

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[Reagan] sought after coins in the world.

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[Rush Lindell] Backed by the U.S. Government for weight and purity, one ounce of point nine nine nine fine silver, IRA eligible, a tangible asset you can hold in your hand.

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[Reagan] Go to rushcoinoffer.com right now.

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[Reagan] This is a twenty four hour offer.

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[Reagan] The URL goes dark after that,

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[Reagan] and when it's gone,

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[Reagan] it's gone.

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[Reagan] That's rushcoinoffer dot com.

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[Rush Lindell] So if six tankers around Africa,

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[Rush Lindell] one tanker hit,

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[Rush Lindell] a crew member missing,

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[Rush Lindell] and Iran still sitting on the Straits since February.

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[Reagan] That's a war finding new routes.

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[Reagan] It hasn't slowed down at all.

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[Rush Lindell] And that's the receipt we should be checking against everything the show's predicted lately.

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[Reagan] Which is exactly what we're about to do.

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[Reagan] Building on that grocery bill,

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[Reagan] let's grade ourselves,

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[Reagan] Reagan; three weeks running I called this war winding down.

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[Rush Lindell] Receipts,

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[Rush Lindell] please.

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[Rush Lindell] You don't get to declare victory on vibes.

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[Reagan] (Fine.) Item one,

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[Reagan] mediators:

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[Reagan] Armand's carrying real weight on Hormuz transit deal,

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[Reagan] and CNN reports Trump himself credits Persian Gulf allies for talking him off two separate strike orders this week.

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[Rush Lindell] That part earns a passing grade.

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[Rush Lindell] A Hormuz arrangement is closer than it was back in June-I'll give you that one clean.

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[Reagan] Mm-hmm.

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[Speaker 3] Thank you-see,

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[Speaker 3] I told-

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[Rush Lindell] Don't get comfortable,

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[Rush Lindell] here's where you failed.

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[Speaker 3] Go ahead,

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[Speaker 3] dock me!

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[Rush Lindell] You predicted a cease fire that holds,

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[Rush Lindell] but that requires both sides to admit out loud they're talking,

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[Rush Lindell] Iran's foreign ministry per CNN still insists it's only negotiating a transit route with Oman,

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[Rush Lindell] not Washington,

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[Rush Lindell] not a deal.

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[Reagan] Tehran would rather eat glass than sate negotiation.

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[Rush Lindell] Fair; and Global Security's day one fifty eight tracker confirms five straight nights with no US strike inside Iran which backs your pause instinct.

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[Rush Lindell] Instinct isn't the same as the prediction you made.

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[Reagan] So,

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[Reagan] Partial credit?

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[Rush Lindell] Partial credit.

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[Rush Lindell] My rule for anyone grading a war from home:

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[Rush Lindell] a prediction you can't check against something specific?

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[Rush Lindell] Thick was never a forecast; it was a mood.

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[Speaker 3] Brutal; fair though.

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[Rush Lindell] I try.

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[Speaker 3] Now flip that on its head-because nobody grades themselves on cable.

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[Rush Lindell] Same panel,

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[Rush Lindell] every network-zero memory from Sunday to Monday.

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[Speaker 3] Oh,

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[Speaker 3] we're doing that bit next?

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[Speaker 3] Buckle up.

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[Reagan] Sharply breaking now Iran deal imminent.

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[Reagan] Countdown clock on screen.

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[Reagan] Sixty days and counting.

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[Speaker 4] It's been imminent since spring.

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[Reagan] That's the bit; Sunday Chiron imminent,

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[Reagan] Monday Unbelievably duplicitous,

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[Reagan] Tuesday same for retired generals,

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[Reagan] zero memory of Monday.

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[Rush Lindell] I'm not doing the accents with you.

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[Reagan] Sources tell us-sources always tell us.

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[Rush Lindell] Rush.

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[Reagan] Fine,

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[Reagan] fine; but CNN ran imminent on this exact story again Sunday.

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[Reagan] Same word,

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[Reagan] different Sunday for months now.

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[Speaker 4] And nobody's pulled the tape.

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[Reagan] Not the Chiron?

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[Speaker 4] The Chiron's cheap feeder-the problem is nobody on that panel gets asked why what they predicted in May never happened.

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[Reagan] Yeah!

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[Speaker 4] That question takes four minutes and it never airs.

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[Reagan] Because the answer makes everybody look bad-including us.

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[Rush Lindell] So the countdown that matters isn't on the deal,

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[Rush Lindell] it's on how long before anyone in that business asks a second question.

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[Reagan] Speaking of nobody following up,

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[Reagan] there's a story Cable's already buried that we're not burying.

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[Rush Lindell] Speaking of nobody following up,

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[Rush Lindell] there's a story Cable's already buried that we're not burying.

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[Reagan] LINDSEY GRAHAM

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[Reagan] Building on that,

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[Reagan] we need to slow down.

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[Reagan] Quietly,

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[Reagan] Lindsey Graham died Saturday night,

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[Reagan] seventy one years old.

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[Rush Lindell] The Senate's most relentless War Hawk,

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[Rush Lindell] gone right as the war he championed reignited.

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[Reagan] Al Jazeera reported his office said it was a brief and sudden illness,

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[Reagan] and that he passed Saturday evening.

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[Rush Lindell] CBS News reported the DC Medical Examiner's preliminary finding was an aortic dissection.

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[Reagan] And ABC7 Los Angeles noted he'd just gotten back from Ukraine.

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[Reagan] One day before he was scheduled on Meet the Press!

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[Rush Lindell] He was going to defend this war on camera; that interview doesn't happen now.

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[Speaker 3] The one thing I keep sitting with,

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[Speaker 3] Reagan,

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[Speaker 3] whatever you thought of the man's position,

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[Speaker 3] he showed up,

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[Speaker 3] put his name on it,

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[Speaker 3] out loud,

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[Speaker 3] every week.

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[Rush Lindell] Compare that to right now-who in the Senate is standing in front of a camera defending or restraining this war on record?

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[Speaker 3] Nobody.

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[Speaker 3] Silence!

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[Rush Lindell] I'll give both sides their due:

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[Rush Lindell] the case for him,

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[Rush Lindell] hawkishness needs someone willing to own it,

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[Rush Lindell] not hide behind a committee vote;

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[Speaker 3] Right.

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[Rush Lindell] the case against,

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[Rush Lindell] maybe the party had a

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[Rush Lindell] He had already drifted toward restraint before he died,

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[Rush Lindell] and he was the last man arguing a position his own base was leaving behind.

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[Reagan] So which is it-a messenger they lost or a message they'd already dropped?

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[Rush Lindell] I don't know yet,

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[Rush Lindell] but cables barely touched this connection; the loudest voice for this specific war gone mid war.

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[Rush Lindell] That's not an accident of coverage.

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[Reagan] That's discomfort.

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[Rush Lindell] Discomfort with what?

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[Reagan] with asking who's left to answer for it. And that question doesn't wait for cable to

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[Rush Lindell] It lands in Congress's lap,

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[Rush Lindell] on paper,

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[Rush Lindell] in actual votes.

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[Reagan] votes that already happened and votes that are about to.

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[Speaker 3] So the numbers here matter.

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[Speaker 3] Congress actually did something in June:

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[Speaker 3] the Senate passed a War Powers resolution,

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[Speaker 3] fifty to forty eight,

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[Speaker 3] the first time both chambers landed on the same side,

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[Speaker 3] all war.

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[Speaker 3] Crossover votes,

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[Speaker 3] right?

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[Speaker 3] For Republicans,

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[Speaker 3] Cassidy,

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[Speaker 3] Collins,

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[Speaker 3] Paul,

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[Speaker 3] and Murkowski broke with the president.

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[Speaker 3] Al Jazeera called it a rare rebuke to Trump.

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[Speaker 3] And the White House's response?

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[Speaker 3] Told CNN the resolution carries no force of law.

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[Speaker 3] So it passed and nothing changed.

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[Speaker 3] Symbolic, my favorite word in this town." Then July thirtieth a follow-up vote fails fifty to forty nine.

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[Speaker 3] The Washington Post called it the second such failure in two weeks.

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[Speaker 3] Two in a row?

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[Speaker 3] Two in a row." And NPR cited Pentagon figures while that vote sat on the floor:

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[Speaker 3] eighteen U.S. troop deaths since February,

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[Speaker 3] roughly five hundred wounded.

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[Reagan] My problem is,

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[Reagan] Congress wants credit for opposing this war without owning what stopping it would cost; fair enough,

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[Reagan] but a losing vote still lands on the record,

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[Reagan] compare that to silence.

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[Reagan] So we've gone from the strike Trump can't stop canceling to a Senate that

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[Rush Lindell] It can't decide,

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[Rush Lindell] either.

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[Rush Lindell] Article One gives Congress the war power,

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[Rush Lindell] using it symbolically still counts as exercising it.

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[Reagan] Right.

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[Rush Lindell] That's the parallel; a Congress that won't authorize this war and won't stop it is choosing to watch from the sideline three months before an election.

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[Rush Lindell] Bystander government has a ring to it.

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[Rush Lindell] Unflattering.

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[Rush Lindell] Also accurate.

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[Rush Lindell] At least somebody's keeping score.

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[Speaker 3] Shifting away from Capitol Hill,

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[Speaker 3] while every camera's locked on Hormuz,

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[Speaker 3] CBS reported a seventh round of Lebanon-Israel talks just opened in Rome,

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[Speaker 3] US-mediated,

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[Speaker 3] barely a mention anywhere.

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[Speaker 4] Seventh round—nobody's covering the process,

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[Speaker 4] only the flash point.

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[Speaker 3] Exactly—and it matters because attention's are resource.

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[Speaker 3] Adversaries watching us are counting how long we can stare at one door.

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[Speaker 4] I'd frame that as a question not a

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[Speaker 5] reply.

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[Speaker 4] Not a verdict.

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[Speaker 4] Are Beijing and capitals in Latin America actually testing how thin our munition stocks run on a second front?

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[Speaker 4] We don't have hard evidence yet,

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[Speaker 4] just a real question worth asking.

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[Speaker 3] Fair,

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[Speaker 3] but capacity questions don't wait for proof; that's the whole point of asking them now.

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[Speaker 4] Agreed so what would move me three things by next week?

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[Speaker 3] Go!

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[Speaker 4] one Does commercial traffic actually move through Hormuz again,

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[Speaker 4] insurers included?

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[Speaker 4] two Does anyone in Tehran say the word 'negotiation'

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[Speaker 4] out loud,

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[Speaker 4] not 'transit route'

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[Speaker 4] or 'Oman'

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[Speaker 4] as a proxy?

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[Speaker 4] three Does the Senate schedule another war powers vote before midterms or did July thirtieth kill the appetite for good?

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[Speaker 3] I'll put my name on all three.

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[Speaker 3] Traffic

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[Speaker 5] -

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[Speaker 3] Traffic moves partial by Friday,

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[Speaker 3] Tehran holds the line,

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[Speaker 3] no negotiation,

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[Speaker 3] not this month,

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[Speaker 3] and the Senate sits on its hands till September.

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[Speaker 4] Bold.

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[Speaker 4] Write it down.

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[Speaker 3] I always do-hold me to it next week-that's the deal.

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[Speaker 4] We will.

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[Speaker 4] Rome's quiet talks might end up mattering more than Hormuz ever does.

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[Rush Lindell] So that's the show-trumpeting Snooze Button Strike again,

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[Rush Lindell] Reagan?

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[Speaker 4] The Snooze Button Strike stole my favorite nickname of the year.

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[Rush Lindell] Damn right; and the real headline underneath all that noise-

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[Speaker 4] Is We Lost Lindsey Graham This Week Seventy-one years old.

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[Speaker 4] Gone just like that.

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[Rush Lindell] Yeah,

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[Rush Lindell] whatever you thought of the man,

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[Rush Lindell] he never hid from a camera on this war.

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[Speaker 4] That's the piece missing now-someone on record willing to be wrong.

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[Speaker 4] Wrong in public.

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[Rush Lindell] Which is exactly why you keep listening to us; we're not hiding either.

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[Speaker 4] If you liked what you heard,

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[Speaker 4] subscribe,

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[Speaker 4] leave us five stars,

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[Speaker 4] tell a friend.

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[Rush Lindell] New episodes every weekday.

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[Rush Lindell] We'll be tracking Hormuz,

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[Rush Lindell] the War Powers Fight,

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[Rush Lindell] all of it.

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[Speaker 4] Thanks for spending the hour with us.

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[Rush Lindell] Go live your life.

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[Rush Lindell] We'll handle the outrage.

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[Rush Lindell] See you tomorrow.

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[Rush Lindell] And I'll see you next time.

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[Rush Lindell] And I'll see you next time.